05/05/2012
My Dear Nick Carey, Reuters
My Dear Nick Carey, Reuters
Idiot.
...and I am Sid Harth@mysistereileen.com
(Reuters) - The last time Republican Senate veteran Richard Lugar stood for election, in 2006, he was so respected that the Democrats did not bother to run against him and he won his Indiana seat with 87 percent of the vote.
But now Lugar, 80, is faltering under a conservative challenge from within his own party in Tuesday's Indiana Republican primary. That is giving Democrats, struggling to keep control of the U.S. Senate in November's elections, a glimmer of hope of winning the U.S. Senate seat Lugar has held for 36 years.
Accused of worrying as much about India as Indiana, foreign policy expert Lugar is trailing his Tea Party movement opponent Richard Mourdock in polls in the state, by as much as 10 points in one survey.
Although traditionally Republican, Indiana has become more of a swing state in recent years. If small-government advocate Mourdock wins on Tuesday, Democratic candidate Joe Donnelly is seen as having a better chance of winning in the November general election than if the more moderate Lugar is the Republican candidate.
"It would be a much more competitive race with Mourdock in it," said Jennifer Duffy who tracks Senate races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
The only poll so far pitting Donnelly, a U.S. congressman, against Mourdock, taken back in March, showed a tie, while six-term incumbent Lugar had a 20-point lead against the Democrat.
The Democrats are looking for any opening in their battle to keep control of the U.S. Senate, where they hold 53 of 100 seats. Twenty-three of the 33 seats up for grabs in November are Democrats' and around eight are in danger of falling to the Republicans, compared to three which might switch from Republican to Democratic.
If Obama is re-elected, Republicans need a net gain of four seats to control the Senate - to overcome the vice president's tie-breaking vote - and three if Republican Mitt Romney wins the White House.
That means Indiana could be crucial.
Obama won the state narrowly in 2008 thanks in part to a strong organization, but with the economy still weak and the presidential approval rating lukewarm it will be difficult for him to take Indiana in 2012. Donnelly cannot rely on hanging on to Obama's coat tails.
"Donnelly faces an uphill battle no matter who he's up against," said Brian Vargus, a political scientist at Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis. "It will be closer against Mourdock, but Mourdock will still have the advantage of Republican votes and money."
Marjorie Hershey, a political science professor at Indiana University, said Donnelly was "a more centrist Democrat of the kind that can get elected in Indiana. But this is a conservative state, so while Donnelly has a better shot against Mourdock he still faces long odds. This is a Republican race to lose."
OLD GUARD
One of the last of the Senate's "old guard," Lugar has a long track record of the kind bipartisanship that has gone out of fashion in Washington.
His expertise on foreign policy - from Pakistan to nuclear disarmament - has become a campaign burden as critics accuse him of forgetting the Midwestern values of Indiana, where he has not lived since 1977.
Conservatives fume over bipartisan votes by Lugar over the years, including approving President Barack Obama's Supreme Court nominees Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan.
Lugar's response to his first primary challenge since his election in 1976 has been seen as outdated and lackluster.
"He (Lugar) hadn't had a real race in decades and didn't seem ready for this one despite all the warning signs," The Cook Political Report's Duffy said. "They haven't run the race they needed to run."
Negative advertising by Lugar has backfired in the local press partly because he has always been a more gentle campaigner.
Mourdock announced his candidacy in February 2011, and most Indiana Tea Party groups have coalesced around him. A Mourdock victory would be a coup for the populist Tea Party movement, its first significant Republican establishment scalp of 2012.
"If we beat Lugar it will show Republicans in Washington we are a force that is here to stay," said Greg Fettig of Hoosiers for a Conservative Senate, a Tea Party umbrella group backing Mourdock.
Conservatives failed at Utah's Republican convention in April to prevent Senator Orrin Hatch - also elected in 1976 and No. 2 in seniority behind Lugar - from running in a primary in June where his campaign fund of $5.7 million means he will be tough to beat.
(Additional reporting by Thomas Ferraro and Eric Johnson; Editing by Vicki Allen)
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Democrats could gain if Indiana's Lugar loses U.S. Senate seat
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Nick Carey
Reuters
12:26 p.m. CDT, May 5, 2012
(Reuters) - The last time Republican Senate veteran Richard Lugar stood for election, in 2006, he was so respected that the Democrats did not bother to run against him and he won his Indiana seat with 87 percent of the vote.
But now Lugar, 80, is faltering under a conservative challenge from within his own party in Tuesday's Indiana Republican primary. That is giving Democrats, struggling to keep control of the U.S. Senate in November's elections, a glimmer of hope of winning the U.S. Senate seat Lugar has held for 36 years.
Accused of worrying as much about India as Indiana, foreign policy expert Lugar is trailing his Tea Party movement opponent Richard Mourdock in polls in the state, by as much as 10 points in one survey.
Although traditionally Republican, Indiana has become more of a swing state in recent years. If small-government advocate Mourdock wins on Tuesday, Democratic candidate Joe Donnelly is seen as having a better chance of winning in the November general election than if the more moderate Lugar is the Republican candidate.
"It would be a much more competitive race with Mourdock in it," said Jennifer Duffy who tracks Senate races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
The only poll so far pitting Donnelly, a U.S. congressman, against Mourdock, taken back in March, showed a tie, while six-term incumbent Lugar had a 20-point lead against the Democrat.
The Democrats are looking for any opening in their battle to keep control of the U.S. Senate, where they hold 53 of 100 seats. Twenty-three of the 33 seats up for grabs in November are Democrats' and around eight are in danger of falling to the Republicans, compared to three which might switch from Republican to Democratic.
If Obama is re-elected, Republicans need a net gain of four seats to control the Senate - to overcome the vice president's tie-breaking vote - and three if Republican Mitt Romney wins the White House.
That means Indiana could be crucial.
Obama won the state narrowly in 2008 thanks in part to a strong organization, but with the economy still weak and the presidential approval rating lukewarm it will be difficult for him to take Indiana in 2012. Donnelly cannot rely on hanging on to Obama's coat tails.
"Donnelly faces an uphill battle no matter who he's up against," said Brian Vargus, a political scientist at Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis. "It will be closer against Mourdock, but Mourdock will still have the advantage of Republican votes and money."
Marjorie Hershey, a political science professor at Indiana University, said Donnelly was "a more centrist Democrat of the kind that can get elected in Indiana. But this is a conservative state, so while Donnelly has a better shot against Mourdock he still faces long odds. This is a Republican race to lose."
OLD GUARD
One of the last of the Senate's "old guard," Lugar has a long track record of the kind bipartisanship that has gone out of fashion in Washington.
His expertise on foreign policy - from Pakistan to nuclear disarmament - has become a campaign burden as critics accuse him of forgetting the Midwestern values of Indiana, where he has not lived since 1977.
Conservatives fume over bipartisan votes by Lugar over the years, including approving President Barack Obama's Supreme Court nominees Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan.
Lugar's response to his first primary challenge since his election in 1976 has been seen as outdated and lackluster.
"He (Lugar) hadn't had a real race in decades and didn't seem ready for this one despite all the warning signs," The Cook Political Report's Duffy said. "They haven't run the race they needed to run."
Negative advertising by Lugar has backfired in the local press partly because he has always been a more gentle campaigner.
Mourdock announced his candidacy in February 2011, and most Indiana Tea Party groups have coalesced around him. A Mourdock victory would be a coup for the populist Tea Party movement, its first significant Republican establishment scalp of 2012.
"If we beat Lugar it will show Republicans in Washington we are a force that is here to stay," said Greg Fettig of Hoosiers for a Conservative Senate, a Tea Party umbrella group backing Mourdock.
Conservatives failed at Utah's Republican convention in April to prevent Senator Orrin Hatch - also elected in 1976 and No. 2 in seniority behind Lugar - from running in a primary in June where his campaign fund of $5.7 million means he will be tough to beat.
(Additional reporting by Thomas Ferraro and Eric Johnson; Editing by Vicki Allen)
Copyright © 2012, Reuters
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Erie, PA
Who Gets Your Vote in Erie Mayoral Primary?
Holy Hindu Cow! What Now? I am late, as usual. Almost by good three years. I am lazy, that's my little old lady saying. Agree one hundred percent. Amyways, I and Chris Maras, are like, I go, two bugs in a Kashmir rug. I am working on Chris' Will and Last Testament, that's what I am thinking, Chris ain't not ready for that DOW-Q-Ment, not he. Chris is rolling in DOW, Oops, dough, that's me, his (un) official official (ghost) writer talking. It's gonna be a hair raising event, I think. Chris ain't. Chris has made his bed and he, Chris-man is gonna sleep on it, methinks, I go. Suffice it is to say, add to it, say it loudly, "Got any dirt on Chris? I pay good cash money, by tons, not the money, by weight of the dirt. Drop it, I mean the dirt, not Guano, in front of the City Hall, East entrance, between Midnight and Noon, Mondays Wednesdays and Fridays. From Noon to the Midnight on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Saturdays if falling on even days and Sundays if falling on odd days. Knock the (entrance) doors and get an official (looking) receipt from the current mayor, Hon. Mayor Joseph Sinnott Be square, Oops, on the square to celebrate Chris Maras' event of this century, I Claudius, Oops, Chris Maras. Come one, come all, Dogs and Republicans, not welcome ...and I am Sid Harth@sidileak.com (Jan 12, 2012 | post #92)
Who Gets Your Vote in Erie Mayoral Primary?
Holy Hindu Cow! What Now? I am late, as usual. Almost by good three years. I am lazy, that's my little old lady saying. Agree one hundred percent. Amyways, I and Chris Maras, are like, I go, two bugs in a Kashmir rug. I am working on Chris' Will and Last Testament, that's what I am thinking, Chris ain't not ready for that DOW-Q-Ment, not he. Chris is rolling in DOW, Oops, dough, that's me, his (un) official official (ghost) writer talking. It's gonna be a hair raising event, I think. Chris ain't. Chris has made his bed and he, Chris-man is gonna sleep on it, methinks, I go. Suffice it is to say, add to it, say it loudly, "Got any dirt on Chris? I pay good cash money, by tons, not the money, by weight of the dirt. Drop it, I mean the dirt, not Guano, in front of the City Hall, East entrance, between Midnight and Noon, Mondays Wednesdays and Fridays. From Noon to the Midnight on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Saturdays if falling on even days and Sundays if falling on odd days. Knock the (entrance) doors and get an official (looking) receipt from the current mayor, Hon. Mayor Joseph Sinnott Be square, Oops, on the square to celebrate Chris Maras' event of this century, I Claudius, Oops, Chris Maras. Come one, come all, Dogs and Republicans, not welcome ...and I am Sid Harth@sidileak.com (Jan 12, 2012 | post #92)
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1 hr ago | National Public Radio
As Republican Sen. Richard Lugar faces a tough challenge from Tea
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money has flooded into the race.
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Richard Lugar's enemies are driving this drive. Simply stated,
Richard Lugar, the king of the kings, ain't going nowhere. He may find a
little (all) weather disturbance, now and then, perhaps an image
makeover, a shave, a brightening of teeth, a small adjustment of his
hoity-toity nose, a little nose ringy-dingy to attract the youth to vote
fore him and an Italian (silk) Prom suite with a top hat, a cigar,
(hand-rolled in Havana, Kooba), low and behold, Richard is gonna be a
thorn in the (inside and outside) of my lovely sister, Sarah Rah-Rah
Palin, a she devil.
Hi, Richard I!
Bye, Sarah, III (grade dropout)!
...and I am Sid Harth@mysistereileen.com
Hi, Richard I!
Bye, Sarah, III (grade dropout)!
...and I am Sid Harth@mysistereileen.com
ichard Lugar
2 hrs ago | Posted by: roboblogger
Lugar Struggles In Race Flooded By Outside Spending
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Party-backed Richard Mourdock in Indiana's GOP primary Tuesday, outside
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Daily Horoscope for May 5
Cancer
Friends pull you one way and loved ones another, dear Cancer.
Tonight's Full Moon in sexy Scorpio urges you to choose your
alternatives so as to satisfy your own needs. Intimate companions may
have been feeling excluded. Are you thinking more deeply than usual and
communicating in a penetrating way? Don't come across as more forceful
than you intend.
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