Europe's new fiscal union: how big a step out of crisis?
Angela Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy have proposed a pact to form a European 'fiscal union' with strict financial rules in parallel with the EU. But Britain has balked, leaving it the odd man out.
French President Nicolas Sarkozy (l.) walks by British Prime Minister David Cameron (c.) during a round table meeting at an EU summit in Brussels on Dec. 9.
Geert Vanden Wijngaert/AP
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“What we have achieved tonight is a tremendous step towards a stable Europe,” Mrs. Merkel told journalists in Brussels on Friday. “This summit will go down in history,” President Sarkozy said.
The Franco-German plan was originally to change the Lisbon Treaty, the basic legal framework that governs the EU, making the amendments binding for all 27 members. But the UK refused to back the move on the grounds that it did not get an exemption from a planned financial-transaction tax. Britain's financial services sector accounts for about 10 percent of the country's economy.
To circumvent the British veto, France and Germany instead proposed a new treaty, in parallel with the EU treaty, to implement the proposed changes. Most of the current EU signatories agreed to the proposal. A number of countries like Sweden, Hungary, and the Czech Republic initially said they would first have to get parliamentary approval for the new proposal, but late announced they were prepared to sign the agreement, leaving Britain as the odd one out.
Many European economists were less enthusiastic about the plan than Merkel and Sarkozy. “Europe has moved a step toward solving the crisis,” says Ferdinand Fichtner of the German Institute of Economic Research in Berlin. “Stronger fiscal coordination is an important pillar for a stable currency union. But it does not address the main problem of struggling economies in southern Europe: lack of growth.”
The current course is one of government austerity, which could slow GDP growth even further. Economists like Mr. Fichtner worry that without measures to stimulate growth, the money won't be raised to pay off debt.
A pact with lipstick?
Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, welcomed the summit’s outcome. “[The agreement] is going to be the basis for a good fiscal compact and more discipline in economic policy in the euro area members," he said. "We came to conclusions that will have to be fleshed out more in the coming days."Related stories
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“What has been agreed is definitely not a fiscal union,” says Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Center for European Reform. “There is no shared budget, no joint debt issuance, no mechanism to transfer money between the participating economies. It is a stability pact with lipstick.”
Fiscal austerity alone would not solve the crisis, Mr. Tilford stressed, and what was needed was economic growth.
The details of the intergovernmental treaty for a fiscal union will be worked out within the next three months. British Prime Minister David Cameron played down the possible consequences of the UK’s absence in these negotiations, saying his country would not profit from taking part in these talks as it was not a eurozone member.
“Cameron’s strategy is very hard to comprehend,” says Tilford. “Britain will not be able to influence policy in a favorable direction if it isolates itself. It also does not help the European single market, which Britain is one of the most potent members of.”
Apart from reaching a deal on a fiscal union, the summit agreed on bringing the introduction of Europe’s new bailout fund, the European Stability Mechanism, forward by a year to July 2012, and that EU countries would provide €200 billion to the International Monetary Fund to help tackle the crisis.
Whether these measures are enough to convince global financial markets that Europe finally has a grip on the debt crisis remains to be seen. Tilford, for one, does not believe so. “A month from now there’s going to be another emergency summit.”
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9 December 2011 Last updated at 08:39 ET
Prime Minister David Cameron had insisted on an exemption for the UK from some financial regulations.
Instead, eurozone members and others will adopt an accord with penalties for breaking deficit rules.
The new tougher rules on spending and budgets will now be backed not by an EU treaty but by a treaty between governments. It will be quicker to set up but it may prove less rigorous, says the BBC's Europe editor Gavin Hewitt in Brussels.
But, he says, Europe has taken a big step towards closer integration, with binding rules over tax and spending, and sanctions against countries that overspend.
European Council President Herman Van Rompuy said the leaders of 26 countries had indicated a desire to participate, pending consultation with their parliaments.
EU leaders aim to have the pact ready to take effect by March.
Among the measures agreed on, leaders pledged to provide more money for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to fund bailouts.
IMF chief Christine Lagarde welcomed the deal as "a really good step in the right direction".
But the announcement from Brussels failed to lift the markets, which are still hoping for more intervention by the European Central Bank (ECB), and European stocks traded slightly down on Friday.
German praise Nearly 10 hours of talks could not produce an agreement involving all member states. Instead, the 17 members of the eurozone will work on a separate deal outside EU treaties. They will be joined possibly by nine other countries, the EU statement said, leaving the UK as the only exception.
Mr Sarkozy said the sticking point had been Mr Cameron's insistence on a protocol allowing London to opt-out on proposed change on financial services.
"We could not accept this," he said.
During the talks, eurozone leaders agreed to work on new budgetary rules, which envisage automatic penalties.
The main measures agreed to as part of the new agreement, called a "fiscal compact" include:
"I believe that after long negotiations this is a very, very important result because we have learned from the past and from mistakes and because in future [there will be] binding decisions, binding rules, more influence from the commission, more community and with that higher coherence."
ECB chief Mario Draghi said the accord would lead to much more discipline in economic policy, calling it "a very good outcome for the euro area".
Our correspondent says the immediate test will be whether this agreement persuades the ECB to act more aggressively in the markets and so lower the borrowing costs of troubled countries like Italy and Spain.
Euro crisis: Eurozone deal reached without UK

Nicolas Sarkozy said he would have preferred a treaty among all the members of the EU
EU members which use the euro have agreed to a tax and budget pact to tackle the eurozone's debt crisis.
But a German and French attempt to get all 27 EU states to back changes to the union's treaties was dropped after objections from the UK.Prime Minister David Cameron had insisted on an exemption for the UK from some financial regulations.
Instead, eurozone members and others will adopt an accord with penalties for breaking deficit rules.
The new tougher rules on spending and budgets will now be backed not by an EU treaty but by a treaty between governments. It will be quicker to set up but it may prove less rigorous, says the BBC's Europe editor Gavin Hewitt in Brussels.
But, he says, Europe has taken a big step towards closer integration, with binding rules over tax and spending, and sanctions against countries that overspend.
European Council President Herman Van Rompuy said the leaders of 26 countries had indicated a desire to participate, pending consultation with their parliaments.
Continue reading the main story
There is, too, considerable antagonism towards Britain - it used its veto in what is seen in Brussels as Europe's hour of need.
What is unclear is whether European institutions can be used to implement a treaty between governments.
If EU officials are in the room, David Cameron has already laid down a marker that he expected the UK to be involved. It is all a recipe for further tussles.
The big question is what effect all this will have on the eurozone crisis. The main impact will lie in the long-term - the agreement has little to say about the debt mountains and the absence of growth in most of Europe.
Analysis
There is now a two-speed Europe - after this long night, the French president accepted that.There is, too, considerable antagonism towards Britain - it used its veto in what is seen in Brussels as Europe's hour of need.
What is unclear is whether European institutions can be used to implement a treaty between governments.
If EU officials are in the room, David Cameron has already laid down a marker that he expected the UK to be involved. It is all a recipe for further tussles.
The big question is what effect all this will have on the eurozone crisis. The main impact will lie in the long-term - the agreement has little to say about the debt mountains and the absence of growth in most of Europe.
Mr Cameron said he had not signed up to the deal because, he said, it was not in Britain's interests.
"Those countries that sign this treaty... we wish them well because we want the eurozone to sort out its problems, to achieve that stability and growth that all of Europe - Britain included - needs," he said.EU leaders aim to have the pact ready to take effect by March.
Among the measures agreed on, leaders pledged to provide more money for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to fund bailouts.
IMF chief Christine Lagarde welcomed the deal as "a really good step in the right direction".
But the announcement from Brussels failed to lift the markets, which are still hoping for more intervention by the European Central Bank (ECB), and European stocks traded slightly down on Friday.
German praise Nearly 10 hours of talks could not produce an agreement involving all member states. Instead, the 17 members of the eurozone will work on a separate deal outside EU treaties. They will be joined possibly by nine other countries, the EU statement said, leaving the UK as the only exception.
Continue reading the main story
In the Economist, the Charlemagne's notebook blog describes the agreement - and Britain's non-participation - as Europe's "great divorce".
The Financial Times says EU leaders are "struggling to cope" with what it describes as "a profound split".
The New York Times describes the agreement as "not a perfect solution," because it could be seen as institutionalizing a two-speed Europe - but it says the pact could be ratified much more quickly than a full treaty amendment.
Euro agreement - from the papers
The Guardian says Britain is "facing isolation in Europe" after David Cameron vetoed a revision of the Lisbon treaty.In the Economist, the Charlemagne's notebook blog describes the agreement - and Britain's non-participation - as Europe's "great divorce".
The Financial Times says EU leaders are "struggling to cope" with what it describes as "a profound split".
The New York Times describes the agreement as "not a perfect solution," because it could be seen as institutionalizing a two-speed Europe - but it says the pact could be ratified much more quickly than a full treaty amendment.
On Friday, Danish Prime Minister Helle Thorning-Schmidt said she would have to consult parliament before agreeing to sign up, according to a Danish press report.
Hungary's Europe Minister Eniko Gyori told the BBC her country was willing to join with the consent of parliament - contradicting earlier reports. A revised EU statement said Hungary had signalled its intention to join the process. Mr Sarkozy said the sticking point had been Mr Cameron's insistence on a protocol allowing London to opt-out on proposed change on financial services.
"We could not accept this," he said.
During the talks, eurozone leaders agreed to work on new budgetary rules, which envisage automatic penalties.
The main measures agreed to as part of the new agreement, called a "fiscal compact" include:

David Cameron: It is better to have eurozone countries make arrangements separately
- a cap of 0.5% of GDP on countries' annual structural deficits
- "automatic consequences" for countries whose public deficit exceeds 3% of GDP
- the tighter rules to be enshrined in countries' constitutions
- European Stability Mechanism (ESM) to be accelerated and brought into force in July 2012
- adequacy of 500bn-euro (£427bn; $666bn) limit for ESM to be reassessed
- Eurozone and other EU countries to provide up to 200bn euros to the IMF to help debt-stricken eurozone members
"I believe that after long negotiations this is a very, very important result because we have learned from the past and from mistakes and because in future [there will be] binding decisions, binding rules, more influence from the commission, more community and with that higher coherence."
ECB chief Mario Draghi said the accord would lead to much more discipline in economic policy, calling it "a very good outcome for the euro area".
Our correspondent says the immediate test will be whether this agreement persuades the ECB to act more aggressively in the markets and so lower the borrowing costs of troubled countries like Italy and Spain.
Can the summit resolve the EU crisis? Are you in the eurozone? Please send in your reaction using the form below.
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Eurozone crisis: live blog

Welcome back to our live coverage of the eurozone crisis. By Tom Burgis and Kimiko de Freytas-Tamura on the newsdesk in London, with contributions from FT correspondents around the world. All times are GMT.
A in Brussels ended in deep division, with the UK refusing to back a new treaty for all 27 EU members and leaving the eurozone countries plus at least six others to forge ahead with a pact of their own to enshrine strict new rules on deficits and debt. It was meant to be the summit that would decisively chart a course out of the eurozone’s debt crisis. This morning, it doesn’t look as if the markets see it that way. We’ll bring you all the developments and reactions through the day.
19.03 That’s the end of our live coverage today. We’ll leave you with a quick summary of the day’s developments. See FT.com for more news and analysis through the evening.
- The European Union’s 27 leaders, minus David Cameron, struck a deal in the early hours to draw up a treaty by March that would bind them to strict new rules on debt and deficits, with automatic sanctions for countries that break them
- The UK courted isolation as it refused to sign up to a treaty for all 27 members after David Cameron’s early-hours pitch for safeguards to protect UK financial services met a chilly reception from his counterparts
- Markets were volatile before a tentative rally lifted equities in Europe and the US. The euro strengthened against the dollar but yields on Italian and Spanish bonds climbed once again
- The IMF welcomed the European deal, which included €200bn for the fund to ensure it has enough cash to deal with any more fallout from the eurozone crisis, with Christine Lagarde, its head, saying she was “hopeful that others will also do their part”
Fiscal discipline and political cohesion among 23 or more EU member states with such different levels of economic competitiveness and contrasting approaches to European integration will be very difficult to deliver. Staying on the sidelines of this process might not be such a bad option for the UK for now.18.43 And the FT’s Alex Barker has penned this all-you-need-to-know analysis of Cameron’s gamble and whether it will really achieve its stated aim of protecting British financial services.
David Cameron is never likely to be accused of failing to fight the City of London’s corner in the European Union. But after putting so much on the line and winning no safeguards, old hands in Brussels are warning that the prime minister’s diplomatic gambit could backfire on those it sought to protect.18.39 Our reporters in Brussels have delivered an inside account of how David Cameron came to end up thoroughly isolated at last night’s crunch talks.
Britain’s summit price for backing treaty change was a financial services protocol packed with half-a-dozen complex, arcane regulatory fixes that left most European leaders “baffled”, according one official at the summit…
Britain’s isolation was the despair of those who want the country to fight its corner in protecting the single market. “The tragedy is that the UK has many allies in continental Europe for most of what it wants on financial services and yet here they end up again outnumbered 26 to 1,” said a veteran European insider.18.22 Amid all the furore, Croatia signed its accession treaty to the EU earlier today, meaning it is set to become the bloc’s 28th member on July 1 2013. The timing is not exactly auspicious, coming as it does with the eurozone — and perhaps even the wider union — facing existential crisis.
EU leaders have hailed Croatia’s accession treaty, with European Commission president Jose Manuel Barroso talking about the “transformative power” of EU enlargement and Germany’s Angela Merkel claiming Europe remained irresistible to newbies despite the ongoing crisis.
Since opening up its market to the EU a decade ago, Croatian trade with the bloc has flourished, according to Commission figures, but economic prospects are gloomy, regardless of EU membership. The country of 4.2m has unemployment of 17.4 per cent and GDP grew by a meagre 0.6 per cent in the third quarter year-on-year.
Standard & Poor’s slashed its credit rating last year to one notch above junk, citing its deteriorating fiscal position and weak external financing. Despite strong Adriatic tourism receipts, Croatia has been the slowest country in central or south-eastern Europe to return to positive growth.
Tweeters on Croatia today have revived the riff about a certain ill-fated liner that was used with such merriment earlier (see 14.35) to describe Britain’s rapidly souring relationship with Europe. One wag compared Croatia to “someone just managing to get the last seat on the Titanic”.
This spoof account (not to be confused with the official account of the French presidency) tells the signing of the accession treaty with the head of the European Council as it didn’t happen:
Mr Van Rompuy welcomes new member #Croatia and its delegation to EU: 'Just one look at your tear stained faces tells me all I need to know'
@ElyseeFranglais
ElyseeFranglaise
On train home after a busy #eurocrisis day. #Croatia in. #UK out. C'est la vie.
@Andrew_Duff_MEP
Andrew Duff MEP
17.42 Over in Paris, Scheherazade Daneshkhu has some analysis of how all this plays for Nicolas Sarkozy, who is facing a tough fight to win another term as president.
Sarkozy said British prime minister, David Cameron’s demands for exemption from some financial regulations in return for joining the fiscal pact had been “unacceptable”.17.29 From Brussels, the FT’s Alex Barker details all those gripes from the City of London that lay behind David Cameron’s refusal to agree to a new treaty of all 27 EU members (well, them and the Tory MPs who have been demanding their pound of flesh from Europe and whose views are collected on this blog from ConservativeHome).
“We were not able to accept because we consider quite the contrary – that a very large and substantial amount of the problems we are facing around the world are a result of lack of regulation of financial services and therefore can’t have a waiver for the United Kingdom,” Sarkozy said.
Cameron’s threatened veto has effectively put paid to the option of treaty change, to which Sarkozy never appeared favourable.
“The silver lining for Mr Sarkozy is that Britain has blocked the option of treaty change. Mr Cameron has slammed the door shut on that, locked up and thrown the key away,” said Thomas Klau, senior fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations think-tank. “This means that, as Mr Sarkozy said in Toulon last week, the new co-operation will be based on inter-governmental agreement.”
Meanwhile, Valerie Pecresse, budget minister said she hoped the blueprint for a closer fiscal union in the eurozone would help preserve France’s threatened triple A credit rating. “I think we have reinforced the credibility of the euro very strongly,” she said in a television interview. Asked whether the agreement would be enough to ward off a downgrade of the sovereign debt of eurozone countries put on negative watch this week by Standard & Poor’s ratings agency , she said: “I think the facts speak for themselves and that is how all observers of the eurozone will perceive them.”
- Financial transaction tax: Britain has a veto but there are risks that a eurozone only tax could be applied in a way that would encompass transactions taking place in London. Some officials also fear the measure could be sneaked through on a majority vote by redesigning it as a “user charge” on financial institutions
- Capital requirements: Britain sees European Commission proposals on a maximum capital requirement for banks as preventing it from implementing the Vickers banking commission recommendations. It was relying on winning support from other member states to revise the rule
- Location policy: the UK is suing the European Central Bank for setting rules that could require big clearing houses dealing in euros to decamp to the eurozone. London fears it is the first of many restrictions on access that the eurozone could enforce on grounds of financial stability
- European regulators: Powerful new pan-European watchdogs have tilted the balance of regulatory power away from national regulators. After backing their establishment, Britain has resisted attempts to beef up their powers. Officials complain that on some simple majority committees their voting weight matches that of Malta
- Third country access: London is concerned that an aggressive negotiating tactics to extend regulatory principles to the US or Asia may be a cover for protectionism
Italian and Spanish 10-year bond yields fell 11 basis points and 9bp to 6.32 per cent and 5.66 per cent respectively, but the German 10-year bund yield climbed 10bp to 2.11 per cent. The UK’s 10-year gilts – another safe haven so far in the eurozone – also edged up 2bp to 2.13 per cent.16.55 David Cameron has said he “did the right thing” for Britain. The UK PM told the BBC:
I think it is right for Britain to say, “Well, which bits of Europe benefit us as a nation?” and to focus on those things. I’m not frightened of the fact sometimes you might not be included in some things. Are we better off outside the euro? You bet we are.16.35 From London, FT markets editor Chris Adams tweets:
I think I did the right thing for Britain. We were offered a treaty that didn’t have proper safeguards for Britain and I decided it was not right to sign it.
That was the decision I took. You are obviously in a room with 26 other people who are saying, “Put aside your national interest, go along with the crowd, do what will make life easy and comfortable with you there in that room.” But you say no.
We are still in the single market, that is the best safeguard for keeping markets open. The danger you have with a new treaty, which is adding to the European Union treaties, is that you start distorting the single market, the European Union you are already a member of, so you should only start taking the risk of a treaty within a treaty if you are going to get the safeguards you need. That was the judgment I had to make.
For all the gnashing in Brussels, investors have set aside their concerns. Wall Street leads the way, S&P +1.5 pct, Italian stocks up 3.3pct
@ChrisAdamsMKTS
Christopher Adams
One always wants to be careful with historical comparisons: though TV pundits toss them around like party favors, their predictive power is limited. Looking to the Great Depression, for instance, doesn’t immediately yield a solution or a timeline for our current economic woes. But there’s another moment in American history that makes for a better comparison to Europe today: the 1781 signing of the Articles of Confederation.
The full piece is here.
16.14 Christine Lagarde, the head of the IMF, has just put out a statement in response to the EU deal. The EU leaders said they would consider — and confirm within 10 days — furnishing the IMF with €200bn in bilateral loans
“As indicated by Presidents [of the European Couuncil Herman] Van Rompuy and [Jose Manuel] Barroso in their briefing earlier today, the decisions taken today by European leaders at their summit meeting are an important contribution to helping address the crisis facing the eurozone and strengthening the global economic recovery.Said “others” signalled on Thursday that they would. Guido Mantega, Brazil’s finance minister, said: “We will do something that will be arranged together with China, India and Russia. It will be through the IMF.”
I welcome in particular the progress made in three critical areas:
First, the agreement reached to enhance fiscal discipline and strengthen economic policy coordination in the euro zone.
Second, the decision to accelerate the entry into force of the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) treaty, which will help bolster the firewall against financial contagion.
Third, the commitment by EU member states to provide additional resources to the IMF of up to €200bn (about $270bn). These resources will enhance the IMF’s capacity to fulfill its systemic responsibilities in support of its global membership — which is especially important given the ongoing economic slowdown and financial market tensions.
I appreciate this demonstration of leadership from Europe, and I am hopeful that others will also do their part.”
15.55 To New York, where early trading in the US is taking its cue from Europe, reports the FT’s Jason Abbruzzese.
US equities have once again followed the lead of their European counterparts, on a tumultuous day as investors try to read the tea leaves about the implications of the eurozone deal. But after initial losses, European stocks rallied, providing a positive tone for the US market.15.29 Anyone wondering why Greece is making such slow progress with fiscal and structural reforms should take a look at a new report from the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, reports the FT’s Kerin Hope in Athens.
Financial stocks led the early rally with a 1.7 per cent jump. Morgan Stanley rose 5.3 per cent to $16.72, while Citigroup added 3.5 per cent to $28.73 and Bank of America gained 1.7 per cent to $5.68.
Its title, “Greece: review of the central administration”, is deceptively bland.15.15 It seems “Le Snub” (see 14.10) may not have been quite the cold shoulder it originally looked. It appears that Sarkozy and Cameron had, in fact, shaken hands a few minutes before the cameras caught this moment. We await confirmation that Camkozy will be holidaying together in Bordeaux come spring.
Here’s an eye-catching read-out from the executive summary: “The central administration as a whole lacks the practical tools, culture and ability to initiate, monitor and implement coherent policies.”
And another: “Data management – from collection to collation and analysis – is a major weakness.”
The text puts it even more bluntly: “The administration does not have the habit of keeping records.”
One obstacle to improving this situation, it seems, is top-heavy management. “One in five government departments do not have any employees apart from the head of department.” (Most have three or less).
It doesn’t help, either, that the bureaucrats themselves “share the general population’s negative image of the administration”. Almost one in three believes that its main problem is “cronyism, clientelism or corruption”.
The efforts of some “highly competent” civil servants trying to promote fundamental reforms are “undermined or even nullified by the actions of others” who prefer the status quo.
Add up all the problems and you get “an environment conducive to rent-seeking” – translated elsewhere in the report’s useful glossary as “situations where resources of the public administration are appropriated for political, economic or social advantage without generating any added value for the economy or society.”
Few Greeks would disagree. According to Eurostat, 98 per cent – a higher percentage than in any other EU member-state – estimates that corruption is a major problem.
Yet there are one or two signs of a shift in attitude. The ministry of interior, for example, has taken the bold step of renaming itself the ministry of administrative reform and e-governance. And some forward-looking officials there actually commissioned the OECD experts to research and write the report.
14.58 After the ECB refused to, we at the FT have wheeled out our own bazookas — in the forms of Philip Stephens, Wolfgang Münchau and Lionel Barber, the editor.
Talking to FT senior investment columnist John Authers in a new FT video, Lionel Barber chews over the EU deal and says the UK “is in a very sticky position”.
Philip Stephens has just published a column asking how long Britian will stay in the EU after last night’s contretemps.
There’s fog in the channel: the continent is isolated again. This well-worn worn adage has often described the British attitude to Europe. So it was at the latest European Union summit. David Cameron’s veto of a new EU treaty on fiscal union leaves Britain to sail under clear blue skies. Things will not turn out like that, of course. They never do…On the FT’s A-List, Wolfgang Münchau argues that the only way to save the euro is to destroy the EU.
So we have two crises now. A still-unresolved eurozone crisis and a crisis of the European Union. Of the two, the latter is potentially the more serious one. The eurozone may, or may not, break up. The EU almost certainly will. The decision by the eurozone countries to go outside the legal framework of the EU and to set up the core of a fiscal union in a multilateral treaty will eventually produce this split…14.56 Amid all this gnashing of teeth, it might be worth reflecting on a letter to the editor of the FT, published earlier this week.
Sir, I have taken a leaf out of Dr Strangelove’s book. I have learnt to stop worrying, and love the eurozone crisis…14.35 The Twittersphere is abuzz with imagery trying to capture how the UK has spurned its European cousins.
...and I am Sid Harth@sidileaks.net



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